{"id":20406,"date":"2025-09-23T09:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-09-23T07:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/prahaskolska.200.solutions\/?p=20406"},"modified":"2025-09-18T00:54:37","modified_gmt":"2025-09-17T22:54:37","slug":"paq-research-ubytek-deti-dopada-na-obce-rozdilne-nekde-musi-skolky-spojovat-jinde-stavet","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/prahaskolska.200.solutions\/?p=20406","title":{"rendered":"PAQ Research: \u00dabytek d\u011bt\u00ed dopad\u00e1 na obce rozd\u00edln\u011b. N\u011bkde mus\u00ed \u0161kolky spojovat, jinde stav\u011bt"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>V \u010cesku se rod\u00ed m\u00e9n\u011b d\u011bt\u00ed, ne\u017e jsme byli zvykl\u00ed. V roce 2024 p\u0159i\u0161lo na sv\u011bt jen 84 tis\u00edc novorozenc\u016f, co\u017e je v\u016fbec nejm\u00e9n\u011b od roku 1785. Za posledn\u00ed t\u0159i roky se porodnost propadla o v\u00edce ne\u017e p\u011btinu a odborn\u00edci upozor\u0148uj\u00ed, \u017ee nejde o kr\u00e1tkodob\u00fd v\u00fdkyv, ale sp\u00ed\u0161e o dlouhodob\u00fd trend, kter\u00fd bude m\u00edt citeln\u00fd dopad na \u017eivot obc\u00ed. U\u017e dnes je jasn\u00e9, \u017ee do roku 2027 bude pot\u0159eba zhruba o t\u0159icet tis\u00edc m\u00edst v mate\u0159sk\u00fdch \u0161kol\u00e1ch m\u00e9n\u011b. Jen\u017ee pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e1 \u010d\u00edsla pro celou republiku jsou trochu zav\u00e1d\u011bj\u00edc\u00ed. V praxi se toti\u017e ukazuje, \u017ee zat\u00edmco n\u011bkter\u00e9 obce \u0159e\u0161\u00ed, jak udr\u017eet \u0161kolku p\u0159i \u017eivot\u011b, jin\u00e9 zoufale hledaj\u00ed m\u00edsto pro nov\u00e9 d\u011bti.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Podle propo\u010dt\u016f dnes skoro p\u011bt stovek obc\u00ed hled\u00e1 zp\u016fsob, jak \u0161kolky naplnit, aby neskon\u010dily \u00fapln\u011b pr\u00e1zdn\u00e9. Naopak p\u0159es t\u0159i stovky obc\u00ed \u010del\u00ed opa\u010dn\u00e9 situaci a d\u011bt\u00ed maj\u00ed v\u00edc, ne\u017e na kolik kapacity sta\u010d\u00ed. Nejciteln\u011bji se to projevuje v men\u0161\u00edch \u0161kolk\u00e1ch s jednou nebo dv\u011bma t\u0159\u00eddami. Tam toti\u017e i p\u00e1r d\u011bt\u00ed nav\u00edc, nebo naopak m\u00e9n\u011b, znamen\u00e1 velkou zm\u011bnu. Z\u0159izovatel\u00e9 pak stoj\u00ed p\u0159ed nelehk\u00fdm rozhodnut\u00edm. Bu\u010f investovat do roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed, dr\u017eet polopr\u00e1zdnou \u0161kolku, nebo ji v krajn\u00edm p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b zav\u0159\u00edt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"878\" height=\"1024\" src=\"https:\/\/prahaskolska.200.solutions\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Snimek-obrazovky-2025-09-18-v-0.52.20-878x1024.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-20407\" srcset=\"https:\/\/prahaskolska.200.solutions\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Snimek-obrazovky-2025-09-18-v-0.52.20-878x1024.png 878w, https:\/\/prahaskolska.200.solutions\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Snimek-obrazovky-2025-09-18-v-0.52.20-257x300.png 257w, https:\/\/prahaskolska.200.solutions\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Snimek-obrazovky-2025-09-18-v-0.52.20-768x896.png 768w, https:\/\/prahaskolska.200.solutions\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Snimek-obrazovky-2025-09-18-v-0.52.20.png 1246w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 878px) 100vw, 878px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Ministerstvo \u0161kolstv\u00ed sice p\u0159ipravilo popula\u010dn\u00ed model, kter\u00fd p\u0159edpov\u00edd\u00e1, kolik d\u011bt\u00ed se narod\u00ed v jednotliv\u00fdch mikroregionech. Jen\u017ee takov\u00e1 data jsou pro mal\u00e9 obce \u010dasto p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 obecn\u00e1 a m\u00e1lo vyu\u017eiteln\u00e1. V praxi se toti\u017e osv\u011bd\u010duje mnohem jednodu\u0161\u0161\u00ed p\u0159\u00edstup. Sta\u010d\u00ed sledovat, kolik d\u011bt\u00ed se v obci narodilo v posledn\u00edch t\u0159ech letech. P\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b tolik jich bude v dal\u0161\u00edch t\u0159ech letech pot\u0159ebovat m\u00edsto ve \u0161kolce. I proto se ukazuje, \u017ee p\u0159i rozhodov\u00e1n\u00ed o \u0161kolk\u00e1ch hraje kl\u00ed\u010dovou roli m\u00edstn\u00ed znalost a samospr\u00e1vy jsou v pl\u00e1nov\u00e1n\u00ed nezastupiteln\u00e9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Pl\u00e1nov\u00e1n\u00ed kapacit \u0161kolek je nav\u00edc b\u011bh na dlouhou tra\u0165. Postavit novou t\u0159\u00eddu nebo celou \u0161kolku trv\u00e1 roky a mezit\u00edm se situace v obci m\u016f\u017ee zase zm\u011bnit. Proto je \u010d\u00edm d\u00e1l jasn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, \u017ee samostatn\u00e9 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed nesta\u010d\u00ed. Dob\u0159e to ukazuje p\u0159\u00edklad z Ti\u0161novska, kde se \u0161est obc\u00ed spojilo a z\u0159izuj\u00ed \u0161kolku spole\u010dn\u011b. Ka\u017ed\u00e1 z nich by to zvl\u00e1\u0161\u0165 neut\u00e1hla, dohromady ale maj\u00ed stabiln\u00ed z\u00e1zem\u00ed pro d\u011bti i v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed jistotu, \u017ee se dok\u00e1\u017eou p\u0159izp\u016fsobit v\u00fdkyv\u016fm v po\u010dtu narozen\u00fdch.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"949\" src=\"https:\/\/prahaskolska.200.solutions\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Snimek-obrazovky-2025-09-18-v-0.52.56-1024x949.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-20408\" srcset=\"https:\/\/prahaskolska.200.solutions\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Snimek-obrazovky-2025-09-18-v-0.52.56-1024x949.png 1024w, https:\/\/prahaskolska.200.solutions\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Snimek-obrazovky-2025-09-18-v-0.52.56-300x278.png 300w, https:\/\/prahaskolska.200.solutions\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Snimek-obrazovky-2025-09-18-v-0.52.56-768x712.png 768w, https:\/\/prahaskolska.200.solutions\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Snimek-obrazovky-2025-09-18-v-0.52.56-1320x1223.png 1320w, https:\/\/prahaskolska.200.solutions\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Snimek-obrazovky-2025-09-18-v-0.52.56.png 1470w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Pokud nechceme, aby jedna obec stav\u011bla novou \u0161kolku, zat\u00edmco sousedn\u00ed tu svou zav\u00edr\u00e1, mus\u00edme se d\u00edvat i p\u0159es hranice vlastn\u00edho katastru. Demografick\u00e9 zm\u011bny toti\u017e nekon\u010d\u00ed na ceduli s n\u00e1zvem obce. Pomoci m\u016f\u017eou data, kter\u00e1 ukazuj\u00ed, jak\u00fd v\u00fdvoj \u010dek\u00e1 nejen na\u0161i obec, ale i tu sousedn\u00ed. Jen tak dok\u00e1\u017eeme podle PAQ research kapacity \u0161kolek napl\u00e1novat tak, aby odpov\u00eddaly realit\u011b a aby d\u011bti m\u011bly kde vyr\u016fst.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Zdroj: PAQ Research<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>V \u010cesku se rod\u00ed m\u00e9n\u011b d\u011bt\u00ed, ne\u017e jsme byli zvykl\u00ed. V roce 2024 p\u0159i\u0161lo na sv\u011bt jen 84 tis\u00edc novorozenc\u016f, co\u017e je v\u016fbec nejm\u00e9n\u011b od roku 1785. Za posledn\u00ed t\u0159i roky se porodnost propadla o v\u00edce ne\u017e p\u011btinu a odborn\u00edci upozor\u0148uj\u00ed, \u017ee nejde o kr\u00e1tkodob\u00fd v\u00fdkyv, ale sp\u00ed\u0161e o dlouhodob\u00fd trend, kter\u00fd bude m\u00edt citeln\u00fd [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":20,"featured_media":20036,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"_breakdance_hide_in_design_set":false,"_breakdance_tags":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[419],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-20406","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-vyzkumy-o-skolstvi"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/prahaskolska.200.solutions\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20406","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/prahaskolska.200.solutions\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/prahaskolska.200.solutions\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prahaskolska.200.solutions\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/20"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prahaskolska.200.solutions\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=20406"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/prahaskolska.200.solutions\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20406\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":20409,"href":"https:\/\/prahaskolska.200.solutions\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20406\/revisions\/20409"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prahaskolska.200.solutions\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/20036"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/prahaskolska.200.solutions\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=20406"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prahaskolska.200.solutions\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=20406"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prahaskolska.200.solutions\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=20406"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}